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ENG Anglia - Premier League · Meci ·

Leeds vs Brentford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți34%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde37% selection probability
Projected score1–1LeedsBrentford
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste50% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 29% / 34%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Șansă dublă1271.2%1.40
Peste 50% · Sub 50%Goals 2.5Peste50%2.00
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.68 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Leeds win37%2.70
Egal29%3.45
Brentford win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leeds1.38

Gazde share of expected goals 51.5%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 50% · Sub 50%

Brentford1.30

Oaspeți share of expected goals 48.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Leeds

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Brentford

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.38
Expected goals
1.30
LeedsBrentford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leeds signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brentford signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Leeds vs Brentford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leeds câștig 37%,Egal 29%,Brentford câștig 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Peste 2.5 50% · Current selection Peste