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ENG Anglicko - Premier League · Zápas ·

Leeds vs Brentford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich37%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí34%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich37% selection probability
Projected score1–1LeedsBrentford
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac50% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
37% / 29% / 34%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Dvojitá šanca1271.2%1.40
Viac 50% · Menej 50%Goals 2.5Viac50%2.00
Áno 55% · Nie 45%Oba tímy skórujúÁno55%1.82
2.68 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
10.1 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Leeds win37%2.70
Remíza29%3.45
Brentford win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leeds1.38

Domáci share of expected goals 51.5%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 50% · Menej 50%

Brentford1.30

Hostia share of expected goals 48.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Leeds

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Brentford

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Výhra probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.38
Expected goals
1.30
LeedsBrentford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leeds signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brentford signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Leeds vs Brentford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leeds výhra 37%,Remíza 29%,Brentford výhra 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Viac 2.5 50% · Current selection Viac