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ENG Anglia - Premier Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Leeds vs Brentford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem37%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem34%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem37% selection probability
Projected score1–1LeedsBrentford
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett50% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
37% / 29% / 34%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Dupla esély1271.2%1.40
Felett 50% · Alatt 50%Goals 2.5Felett50%2.00
Igen 55% · Nem 45%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55%1.82
2.68 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
10.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Leeds win37%2.70
Döntetlen29%3.45
Brentford win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leeds1.38

Hazai share of expected goals 51.5%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 50% · Alatt 50%

Brentford1.30

Vendég share of expected goals 48.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 55% · Nem 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Leeds

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Brentford

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Nyert probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.38
Expected goals
1.30
LeedsBrentford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leeds signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brentford signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Leeds vs Brentford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leeds nyer 37%,Döntetlen 29%,Brentford nyer 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · 2.5 felett 50% · Current selection Felett