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SVK Slowakei - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 28% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Doppelte Chance1272.2%1.39
Über 55% · Unter 45%Goals 2.5Über55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.89 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
MSK Senec win40%2.50
Unentschieden28%3.57
OK Castkovce win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Senec1.58

Heim share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 55% · Unter 45%

OK Castkovce1.31

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

MSK Senec

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

OK Castkovce

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.31
MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Senec signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OK Castkovce signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Senec Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 28%,OK Castkovce Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Über 2.5 55% · Current selection Über