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SVK Slovakia 3. Liga · Maç ·

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır40%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır32%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır40% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
40% / 28% / 32%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Çifte Şans1272.2%1.39
Üst 55% · Alt 45%Goals 2.5Üst55%1.82
Evet 58% · Hayır 42%Karşılıklı gol varEvet58%1.72
2.89 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
MSK Senec win40%2.50
Beraberlik28%3.57
OK Castkovce win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Senec1.58

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 55% · Alt 45%

OK Castkovce1.31

Deplasman share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 58% · Hayır 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

MSK Senec

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

OK Castkovce

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalHayır recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.31
MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Senec signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OK Castkovce signalHayır recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Senec kazanç 40%,Beraberlik 28%,OK Castkovce kazanç 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · 2.5 Üst 55% · Current selection Üst