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SVK スロバキア 3.リーガ · 試合 ·

MSKセネツ vs OKカストコフセ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利32%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSKセネツOKカストコフセ
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 28% / 32%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)ダブルチャンス1272.2%1.39
オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%Goals 2.5オーバー55%1.82
はい 58% · いいえ 42%両チーム得点はい58%1.72
2.89 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
MSKセネツ win40%2.50
引き分け28%3.57
OKカストコフセ win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSKセネツ1.58

ホーム share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%

OKカストコフセ1.31

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 58% · いいえ 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

MSKセネツ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

OKカストコフセ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalいいえ recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.31
MSKセネツOKカストコフセ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSKセネツ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OKカストコフセ signalいいえ recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MSKセネツ vs OKカストコフセ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSKセネツ 勝ち 40%,引き分け 28%,OKカストコフセ 勝ち 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · オーバー 2.5 55% · Current selection オーバー