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SVK Словакия - 3. Лига · Мач ·

МСК Сенец vs ОК Кастковце

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен28%
Победа за госта32%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score2–1МСК СенецОК Кастковце
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 28% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Двоен шанс1272.2%1.39
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
2.89 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
МСК Сенец win40%2.50
Равен28%3.57
ОК Кастковце win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

МСК Сенец1.58

Домакин share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

ОК Кастковце1.31

Гост share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

МСК Сенец

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ОК Кастковце

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalНе recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.31
МСК СенецОК Кастковце
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01МСК Сенец signalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ОК Кастковце signalНе recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

МСК Сенец vs ОК Кастковце FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

МСК Сенец печеливш 40%,Равен 28%,ОК Кастковце печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над