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SVK Словакия - 3. Лига · Мач ·

Нове Замки vs ФК Рака

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.58 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина62%
Равен20%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Нове ЗамкиФК Рака
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
62% / 20% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Рака win (17.6%)Двоен шанс1X82.4%1.21
Над 48% · Под 52%Goals 2.5Под52%1.92
Да 44% · Не 56%И двата отбора да отбележатНе56%1.79
2.58 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.4 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapНове Замки winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нове Замки win62%1.611.4462.2%-0.2 pp
Равен20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
ФК Рака win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нове Замки1.86

Домакин share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 48% · Под 52%

ФК Рака0.72

Гост share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Не 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Нове Замки

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Рака

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.86
Expected goals
0.72
Нове ЗамкиФК Рака
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нове Замки signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Рака signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Нове Замки vs ФК Рака FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нове Замки печеливш 62%,Равен 20%,ФК Рака печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Над 2.5 48% · Current selection Под