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SVK Slowakei - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

FK Nove Zamky vs FK Raca

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.58 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg62%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg62% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Nove ZamkyFK Raca
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
62% / 20% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Raca win (17.6%)Doppelte Chance1X82.4%1.21
Über 48% · Unter 52%Goals 2.5Unter52%1.92
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.58 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFK Nove Zamky winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Nove Zamky win62%1.611.4462.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
FK Raca win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Nove Zamky1.86

Heim share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 48% · Unter 52%

FK Raca0.72

Auswärts share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FK Nove Zamky

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK Raca

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.86
Expected goals
0.72
FK Nove ZamkyFK Raca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Nove Zamky signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Raca signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FK Nove Zamky vs FK Raca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Nove Zamky Gewinn 62%,Unentschieden 20%,FK Raca Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Über 2.5 48% · Current selection Unter