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SVK Szlovák 3. Liga · Final ·

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score3–2Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem40%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem32%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem40% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett55% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
40% / 28% / 32%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dupla esély1272.2%1.39
Felett 55% · Alatt 45%Goals 2.5Felett55%1.82
Igen 58% · Nem 42%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58%1.72
2.89 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
MSK Senec win40%2.50
Döntetlen28%3.57
OK Castkovce win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Senec1.58

Hazai share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 55% · Alatt 45%

OK Castkovce1.31

Vendég share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 58% · Nem 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

MSK Senec

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

OK Castkovce

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalNem recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Nyert probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.31
MSK SenecOK Castkovce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Senec signalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OK Castkovce signalNem recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MSK Senec vs OK Castkovce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Senec nyer 40%,Döntetlen 28%,OK Castkovce nyer 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · 2.5 felett 55% · Current selection Felett