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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Spiel ·

Marseille vs Athletic Club

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.96 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg37%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1MarseilleAthletic Club
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 26% / 37%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Doppelte Chance1274.4%1.34
Über 57% · Unter 43%Goals 2.5Über57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nein 40%Beide Teams treffenJa60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marseille win37%2.702.4536.8%
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.7%
Athletic Club win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marseille1.50

Heim share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 57% · Unter 43%

Athletic Club1.46

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nein 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Marseille

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Athletic Club

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.50
Expected goals
1.46
MarseilleAthletic Club
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marseille signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Club signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Marseille vs Athletic Club FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marseille Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 26%,Athletic Club Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Über 2.5 57% · Current selection Über