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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Match ·

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile41%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile41% selection probability
Projected score2–1MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
41% / 25% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marseille win41%2.442.2041.2%
Nul25%4.003.6025.2%
Athletic Bilbao win34%2.942.7033.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marseille1.56

Domicile share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Athletic Bilbao1.40

Extérieur share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Marseille

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.56
Expected goals
1.40
MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marseille signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marseille victoire 41%,Nul 25%,Athletic Bilbao victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de