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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Матч ·

Марсель vs Атлетик Бильбао

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.95 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей37%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей37% selection probability
Projected score1–1МарсельАтлетик Бильбао
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 26% / 37%Исход матчаПобеда гостей37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Двойной шанс1274.4%1.34
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 60% · Нет 40%Обе забьютДа60%1.67
2.95 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Марсель win37%2.702.4536.8%
Ничья26%3.853.5025.7%
Атлетик Бильбао win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Марсель1.49

Хозяева share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Атлетик Бильбао1.46

Гости share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 60% · Нет 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Марсель

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Атлетик Бильбао

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
37%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.49
Expected goals
1.46
МарсельАтлетик Бильбао
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Марсель signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Атлетик Бильбао signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Марсель vs Атлетик Бильбао FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Марсель выигрыш 37%,Ничья 26%,Атлетик Бильбао выигрыш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше