MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.95 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst37%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 26% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dubbele Kans1274.4%1.34
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.95 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marseille win37%2.702.4536.8%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.7%
Athletic Bilbao win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marseille1.49

Thuis share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Athletic Bilbao1.46

Uit share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Marseille

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.49
Expected goals
1.46
MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marseille signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marseille gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 26%,Athletic Bilbao gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven