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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Kamp ·

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.96 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr37%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr37%
Market-based forecastUdesejrTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 26% / 37%KampresultatUdesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dobbeltchance1274.4%1.34
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Begge hold scorerJa60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marseille win37%2.702.4536.8%
Uafgjort26%3.853.5025.7%
Athletic Bilbao win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marseille1.50

Hjemme share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Athletic Bilbao1.46

Ude share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Marseille

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
37%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.50
Expected goals
1.46
MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marseille signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marseille vundet 37%,Uafgjort 26%,Athletic Bilbao vundet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over