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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Spiel ·

Auxerre vs Troyes

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg35%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score2–1AuxerreTroyes
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 24% / 35%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Doppelte Chance1275.5%1.32
Über 56% · Unter 44%Goals 2.5Über56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Auxerre win41%2.44
Unentschieden24%4.17
Troyes win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Auxerre1.54

Heim share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 56% · Unter 44%

Troyes1.41

Auswärts share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Auxerre

1.00pts / match
Gespielt3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punkte3

SignalAuswärts won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Troyes

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.54
Expected goals
1.41
AuxerreTroyes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Auxerre signalAuswärts won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Troyes signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Auxerre vs Troyes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Auxerre Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 24%,Troyes Gewinn 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Über 2.5 56% · Current selection Über