Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 25% / 35%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Auxerre win41%2.44
Draw25%4.00
Troyes win35%2.86
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 52.2%
Total expected goals2.95Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 47.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAuxerre
LWL
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3
SignalAway won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchTroyes
LWWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
35%3
Points from supplied form
91.54
Expected goals
1.41AuxerreTroyes
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Auxerre vs Troyes FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Auxerre win 41%，Draw 25%，Troyes win 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。