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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Fixture ·

Coventry vs Espanyol

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw25%
Away win31%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–1CoventryEspanyol
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 25% / 31%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coventry win43%2.332.0543.6%
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%
Espanyol win31%3.232.9030.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Coventry1.59

Home share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Espanyol1.35

Away share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Coventry

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Espanyol

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.59
Expected goals
1.35
CoventryEspanyol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Coventry signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Espanyol signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Coventry vs Espanyol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Coventry win 43%,Draw 25%,Espanyol win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over