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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Fixture ·

Genoa vs Deportivo La Coruna

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw27%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–1GenoaDeportivo La Coruna
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 27% / 33%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win39%2.562.3039.1%
Draw27%3.703.2527.6%
Deportivo La Coruna win33%3.032.7033.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genoa1.53

Home share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Deportivo La Coruna1.40

Away share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Genoa

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo La Coruna

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.53
Expected goals
1.40
GenoaDeportivo La Coruna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genoa signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo La Coruna signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Genoa vs Deportivo La Coruna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genoa win 39%,Draw 27%,Deportivo La Coruna win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over