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ENG England - Northern Premier League · Spiel ·

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg31%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 27% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doppelte Chance1273.2%1.37
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Curzon Ashton win42%2.38
Unentschieden27%3.70
Alfreton Town win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Curzon Ashton1.36

Heim share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%

Alfreton Town1.14

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Curzon Ashton

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Alfreton Town

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.36
Expected goals
1.14
Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Curzon Ashton signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alfreton Town signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Curzon Ashton Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 27%,Alfreton Town Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter