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ENG England - Northern Premier League · Match ·

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger31%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 27% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dubbelchans1273.2%1.37
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Curzon Ashton win42%2.38
Oavgjort27%3.70
Alfreton Town win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Curzon Ashton1.36

Hemma share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

Alfreton Town1.14

Borta share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Curzon Ashton

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Alfreton Town

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.36
Expected goals
1.14
Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Curzon Ashton signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alfreton Town signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Curzon Ashton vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 27%,Alfreton Town vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under