Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 27% / 31%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Double chance1273.2%1.37
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Curzon Ashton win42%2.38
Draw27%3.70
Alfreton Town win31%3.23
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.4%
Total expected goals2.50Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 45.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCurzon Ashton
DLWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAlfreton Town
DWDDW
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Win probability excluding draw
31%5
Points from supplied form
91.36
Expected goals
1.14Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Curzon Ashton win 42%，Draw 27%，Alfreton Town win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。