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ENG Inglaterra - Northern Premier League · Partida ·

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa42%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante31%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
42% / 27% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dupla Chance1273.2%1.37
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Curzon Ashton win42%2.38
Empate27%3.70
Alfreton Town win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Curzon Ashton1.36

Mandante share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

Alfreton Town1.14

Visitante share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Curzon Ashton

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alfreton Town

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.36
Expected goals
1.14
Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Curzon Ashton signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alfreton Town signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Curzon Ashton ganhou 42%,Empate 27%,Alfreton Town ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo