MatchFormula Find en kamp
Menu
UTC+8
TidszoneAsia/Shanghai
Dansk
BHR Bahrain - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Sitra vs Malkiya

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr23%
Uafgjort34%
Udesejr43%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SitraMalkiya
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under75% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
23% / 34% / 43%KampresultatUdesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sitra win (23.5%)DobbeltchanceX276.5%1.31
Over 25% · Under 75%Goals 2.5Under75%1.33
Ja 31% · Nej 69%Begge hold scorerNej69%1.45
1.73 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sitra win23%4.35
Uafgjort34%2.94
Malkiya win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sitra0.61

Hjemme share of expected goals 35.3%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 25% · Under 75%

Malkiya1.12

Ude share of expected goals 64.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nej 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sitra

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Malkiya

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Vundet probability excluding draw
43%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
1.12
SitraMalkiya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sitra signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malkiya signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sitra vs Malkiya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sitra vundet 23%,Uafgjort 34%,Malkiya vundet 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Over 2.5 25% · Current selection Under