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BHR バーレーン プレミアリーグ · Round 1 ·

シトラ vs マルキヤ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利23%
引き分け34%
アウェイ勝利43%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利43% selection probability
Projected score1–1シトラマルキヤ
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー75% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
23% / 34% / 43%試合結果アウェイ勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes シトラ win (23.5%)ダブルチャンスX276.5%1.31
オーバー 25% · アンダー 75%Goals 2.5アンダー75%1.33
はい 31% · いいえ 69%両チーム得点いいえ69%1.45
1.73 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
シトラ win23%4.35
引き分け34%2.94
マルキヤ win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

シトラ0.61

ホーム share of expected goals 35.3%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 25% · アンダー 75%

マルキヤ1.12

アウェイ share of expected goals 64.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 31% · いいえ 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

シトラ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

マルキヤ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
勝ち probability excluding draw
43%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
1.12
シトラマルキヤ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01シトラ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02マルキヤ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

シトラ vs マルキヤ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

シトラ 勝ち 23%,引き分け 34%,マルキヤ 勝ち 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · オーバー 2.5 25% · Current selection アンダー