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BHR Barém - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Sitra vs Malkiya

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa23%
Empate34%
Vitória visitante43%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SitraMalkiya
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo75% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
23% / 34% / 43%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sitra win (23.5%)Dupla ChanceX276.5%1.31
Acima 25% · Abaixo 75%Goals 2.5Abaixo75%1.33
Sim 31% · Não 69%Ambas as equipes marcamNão69%1.45
1.73 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Sitra win23%4.35
Empate34%2.94
Malkiya win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sitra0.61

Mandante share of expected goals 35.3%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 25% · Abaixo 75%

Malkiya1.12

Visitante share of expected goals 64.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 31% · Não 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sitra

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Malkiya

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
43%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
1.12
SitraMalkiya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sitra signalMandante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malkiya signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sitra vs Malkiya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sitra ganhou 23%,Empate 34%,Malkiya ganhou 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Acima 2.5 25% · Current selection Abaixo