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BHR Μπαχρέιν - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Round 1 ·

Σίτρα vs Μάλκιγια

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου23%
Ισοπαλία34%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου43%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου43% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΣίτραΜάλκιγια
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω75% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
23% / 34% / 43%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σίτρα win (23.5%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX276.5%1.31
Άνω 25% · Κάτω 75%Goals 2.5Κάτω75%1.33
Ναι 31% · Όχι 69%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι69%1.45
1.73 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σίτρα win23%4.35
Ισοπαλία34%2.94
Μάλκιγια win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σίτρα0.61

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 35.3%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 25% · Κάτω 75%

Μάλκιγια1.12

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 64.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 31% · Όχι 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σίτρα

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μάλκιγια

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
43%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
1.12
ΣίτραΜάλκιγια
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σίτρα signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μάλκιγια signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Σίτρα vs Μάλκιγια FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σίτρα νίκη 23%,Ισοπαλία 34%,Μάλκιγια νίκη 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Άνω 2.5 25% · Current selection Κάτω