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BHR Bahrain - Premier League · Kamp ·

Al-Najma Manama vs Al Khalidiyah

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.14 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr11%
Uafgjort20%
Udesejr70%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr70% selection probability
Projected score1–2Al-Najma ManamaAl Khalidiyah
Expected goals3.14Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
11% / 20% / 70%KampresultatUdesejr70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Najma Manama win (10.9%)DobbeltchanceX289.1%1.12
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
3.14 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapAl Khalidiyah winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Najma Manama win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp
Uafgjort20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Al Khalidiyah win70%1.431.3068.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Najma Manama0.68

Hjemme share of expected goals 21.7%

Total expected goals3.14Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Al Khalidiyah2.46

Ude share of expected goals 78.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al-Najma Manama

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Al Khalidiyah

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
11%
Vundet probability excluding draw
70%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.68
Expected goals
2.46
Al-Najma ManamaAl Khalidiyah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Najma Manama signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Khalidiyah signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Al-Najma Manama vs Al Khalidiyah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Najma Manama vundet 11%,Uafgjort 20%,Al Khalidiyah vundet 70%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over