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Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
LVA Латвия - Вирслига · Round 25 ·

СК Супер Нова vs ФК Лиепая

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина31%
Равен27%
Победа за госта43%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта43% selection probability
Projected score1–1СК Супер НоваФК Лиепая
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
31% / 27% / 43%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Двоен шанс1273.3%1.36
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 54% · Не 46%И двата отбора да отбележатДа54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapСК Супер Нова winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
СК Супер Нова win31%3.233.0030.2%+0.8 pp
Равен27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
ФК Лиепая win43%2.332.1043.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СК Супер Нова1.33

Домакин share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

ФК Лиепая1.32

Гост share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Не 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

СК Супер Нова

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Лиепая

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.33
Expected goals
1.32
СК Супер НоваФК Лиепая
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СК Супер Нова signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Лиепая signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

СК Супер Нова vs ФК Лиепая FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СК Супер Нова печеливш 31%,Равен 27%,ФК Лиепая печеливш 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под