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LVA Lettland - Virsliga · Round 25 ·

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger31%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger43%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
31% / 27% / 43%MatchresultatBortaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Dubbelchans1273.3%1.36
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapSK Super Nova winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Super Nova win31%3.233.0030.2%+0.8 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
FK Liepaja win43%2.332.1043.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Super Nova1.33

Hemma share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

FK Liepaja1.32

Borta share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.33
Expected goals
1.32
SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Super Nova signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Super Nova vunnen 31%,Oavgjort 27%,FK Liepaja vunnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under