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LVA Letonia - Virsliga · Round 25 ·

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde31%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți43%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
31% / 27% / 43%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Șansă dublă1273.3%1.36
Peste 49% · Sub 51%Goals 2.5Sub51%1.96
Da 54% · Nu 46%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapSK Super Nova winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Super Nova win31%3.233.0030.2%+0.8 pp
Egal27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
FK Liepaja win43%2.332.1043.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Super Nova1.33

Gazde share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 49% · Sub 51%

FK Liepaja1.32

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 54% · Nu 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Câștig probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.33
Expected goals
1.32
SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Super Nova signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Super Nova câștig 31%,Egal 27%,FK Liepaja câștig 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Peste 2.5 49% · Current selection Sub