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LVA Letonia - Virsliga · Round 25 ·

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local31%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante43%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
31% / 27% / 43%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Doble Oportunidad1273.3%1.36
Más de 49% · Menos de 51%Goals 2.5Menos de51%1.96
Sí 54% · No 46%Ambos equipos marcan54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapSK Super Nova winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Super Nova win31%3.233.0030.2%+0.8 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
FK Liepaja win43%2.332.1043.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Super Nova1.33

Local share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 49% · Menos de 51%

FK Liepaja1.32

Visitante share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Ganado probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.33
Expected goals
1.32
SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Super Nova signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Super Nova ganada 31%,Empate 27%,FK Liepaja ganada 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Más de 2.5 49% · Current selection Menos de