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廈門飛鷺 vs 廣州蒲公英

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝52%
28%
客勝20%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝52% selection probability
Projected score2–1廈門飛鷺廣州蒲公英
Expected goals3.22初盤 match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
52% / 28% / 20%比賽結果主勝52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 廣州蒲公英 win (20.2%)雙勝彩1X79.8%1.25
大 62% · 小 38%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 61% · 否 39%雙方進球61%1.64
3.22 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gap廈門飛鷺 winDifference+0.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
廈門飛鷺 win52%1.921.7351.9%+0.1 pp
28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
廣州蒲公英 win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

廈門飛鷺1.99

主隊 share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals3.22初盤

Dedicated goals model: 62% · 38%

廣州蒲公英1.23

客隊 share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · 39%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

廈門飛鷺

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

廣州蒲公英

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
贏 probability excluding draw
20%
2
Points from supplied form
2
1.99
Expected goals
1.23
廈門飛鷺廣州蒲公英
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01廈門飛鷺 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02廣州蒲公英 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

廈門飛鷺 vs 廣州蒲公英 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

廈門飛鷺 52%, 28%,廣州蒲公英 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · 大2.5 62% · Current selection