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CHN China Division 2 · Trận đấu ·

Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng48%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng26%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Xiamen FeiluGuangzhou Dandelion
Expected goals3.22Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài62% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
48% / 26% / 26%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Cơ hội kép1274.1%1.35
Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%Goals 2.5Tài62%1.61
Có 61% · Không 39%Cả hai đội ghi bàn61%1.64
3.22 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
8.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Xiamen Feilu win48%2.08
Hòa26%3.85
Guangzhou Dandelion win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Xiamen Feilu1.99

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals3.22Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%

Guangzhou Dandelion1.23

Khách share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · Không 39%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Xiamen Feilu

0.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Điểm2

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Guangzhou Dandelion

0.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Điểm2

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Thắng probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
2
1.99
Expected goals
1.23
Xiamen FeiluGuangzhou Dandelion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Xiamen Feilu signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guangzhou Dandelion signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Xiamen Feilu thắng 48%,Hòa 26%,Guangzhou Dandelion thắng 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Tài 2.5 62% · Current selection Tài