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CHN China Division 2 · Kamp ·

Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr52%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr20%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Xiamen FeiluGuangzhou Dandelion
Expected goals3.22Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
52% / 28% / 20%KampresultatHjemmesejr52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guangzhou Dandelion win (20.2%)Dobbeltchance1X79.8%1.25
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Begge hold scorerJa61%1.64
3.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapXiamen Feilu winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Xiamen Feilu win52%1.921.7351.9%+0.1 pp
Uafgjort28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Guangzhou Dandelion win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Xiamen Feilu1.99

Hjemme share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals3.22Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Guangzhou Dandelion1.23

Ude share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Xiamen Feilu

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Guangzhou Dandelion

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vundet probability excluding draw
20%
2
Points from supplied form
2
1.99
Expected goals
1.23
Xiamen FeiluGuangzhou Dandelion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Xiamen Feilu signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guangzhou Dandelion signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Xiamen Feilu vundet 52%,Uafgjort 28%,Guangzhou Dandelion vundet 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over