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CHN China Division 2 · Мач ·

Сямън Фейлу vs Гуангжоу Данделион

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина52%
Равен28%
Победа за госта20%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Сямън ФейлуГуангжоу Данделион
Expected goals3.22Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
52% / 28% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Гуангжоу Данделион win (20.2%)Двоен шанс1X79.8%1.25
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 61% · Не 39%И двата отбора да отбележатДа61%1.64
3.22 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapСямън Фейлу winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сямън Фейлу win52%1.921.7351.9%+0.1 pp
Равен28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Гуангжоу Данделион win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сямън Фейлу1.99

Домакин share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals3.22Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

Гуангжоу Данделион1.23

Гост share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Не 39%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Сямън Фейлу

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Гуангжоу Данделион

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
2
Points from supplied form
2
1.99
Expected goals
1.23
Сямън ФейлуГуангжоу Данделион
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сямън Фейлу signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гуангжоу Данделион signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Сямън Фейлу vs Гуангжоу Данделион FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сямън Фейлу печеливш 52%,Равен 28%,Гуангжоу Данделион печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над