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CHN China Division 2 · Матч ·

Сямэнь Фэйлу vs Одуванчик Гуанчжоу

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Сямэнь ФэйлуОдуванчик Гуанчжоу
Expected goals3.22Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 26% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Двойной шанс1274.1%1.35
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 61% · Нет 39%Обе забьютДа61%1.64
3.22 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Сямэнь Фэйлу win48%2.08
Ничья26%3.85
Одуванчик Гуанчжоу win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сямэнь Фэйлу1.99

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals3.22Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

Одуванчик Гуанчжоу1.23

Гости share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Нет 39%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сямэнь Фэйлу

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Одуванчик Гуанчжоу

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
2
1.99
Expected goals
1.23
Сямэнь ФэйлуОдуванчик Гуанчжоу
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сямэнь Фэйлу signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Одуванчик Гуанчжоу signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Сямэнь Фэйлу vs Одуванчик Гуанчжоу FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сямэнь Фэйлу выигрыш 48%,Ничья 26%,Одуванчик Гуанчжоу выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше