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SRB Serbia Prva Liga · Trận đấu ·

FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng44%
Hòa30%
Đội khách thắng26%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Graficar BeogradSmederevo
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu72% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
44% / 30% / 26%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Smederevo win (25.8%)Cơ hội kép1X74.2%1.35
Tài 28% · Xỉu 72%Goals 2.5Xỉu72%1.39
Có 36% · Không 64%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông64%1.56
1.84 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Graficar Beograd winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Graficar Beograd win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Hòa30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Smederevo win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Graficar Beograd1.02

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 28% · Xỉu 72%

Smederevo0.82

Khách share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 36% · Không 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

FK Graficar Beograd

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Smederevo

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Thắng probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.02
Expected goals
0.82
FK Graficar BeogradSmederevo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Graficar Beograd signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Smederevo signalChủ nhà failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Graficar Beograd thắng 44%,Hòa 30%,Smederevo thắng 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Tài 2.5 28% · Current selection Xỉu