Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 30% / 26%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Smederevo win (25.8%)Double chance1X74.2%1.35
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
1.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Graficar Beograd winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Graficar Beograd win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Draw30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Smederevo win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.4%
Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%
Away share of expected goals 44.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchFK Graficar Beograd
LWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSmederevo
WWDLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome failed to score: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
26%3
Points from supplied form
101.02
Expected goals
0.82FK Graficar BeogradSmederevo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FK Graficar Beograd win 44%，Draw 30%，Smederevo win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.84 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under。