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SRB Serbia Prva Liga · Zápas ·

FK Graficar Beograd vs FK Smederevo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích44%
Remíza30%
Výhra hostů26%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Graficar BeogradFK Smederevo
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně72% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
44% / 30% / 26%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Smederevo win (25.8%)Dvojitá šance1X74.2%1.35
Více 28% · Méně 72%Goals 2.5Méně72%1.39
Ano 36% · Ne 64%Oba týmy skórujíNe64%1.56
1.84 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
8.5 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Graficar Beograd winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Graficar Beograd win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Remíza30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
FK Smederevo win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Graficar Beograd1.02

Domácí share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 28% · Méně 72%

FK Smederevo0.82

Hosté share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 36% · Ne 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

FK Graficar Beograd

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

FK Smederevo

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Výhra probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.02
Expected goals
0.82
FK Graficar BeogradFK Smederevo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Graficar Beograd signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Smederevo signalDomácí failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FK Graficar Beograd vs FK Smederevo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Graficar Beograd výhra 44%,Remíza 30%,FK Smederevo výhra 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Více 2.5 28% · Current selection Méně