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SRB Serbia Prva Liga · Αγώνας ·

FK Graficar Beograd vs Σμεντερέβο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου44%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Graficar BeogradΣμεντερέβο
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω72% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
44% / 30% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σμεντερέβο win (25.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.2%1.35
Άνω 28% · Κάτω 72%Goals 2.5Κάτω72%1.39
Ναι 36% · Όχι 64%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι64%1.56
1.84 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Graficar Beograd winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Graficar Beograd win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Σμεντερέβο win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Graficar Beograd1.02

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 28% · Κάτω 72%

Σμεντερέβο0.82

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 36% · Όχι 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

FK Graficar Beograd

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σμεντερέβο

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.02
Expected goals
0.82
FK Graficar BeogradΣμεντερέβο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Graficar Beograd signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σμεντερέβο signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FK Graficar Beograd vs Σμεντερέβο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Graficar Beograd νίκη 44%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Σμεντερέβο νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Άνω 2.5 28% · Current selection Κάτω