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HRV Croatia HNL · Final ·

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka

Prediction review

Chủ nhà form
Final score2–0Dự đoán 1–1
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng31%
Hòa30%
Đội khách thắng39%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Trượt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng39% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu62% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
31% / 30% / 39%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Cơ hội kép1270.3%1.42
Tài 38% · Xỉu 62%Goals 2.5Xỉu62%1.61
Có 45% · Không 55%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.4 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapHNK Rijeka winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Varazdin win31%3.233.0030.6%+0.4 pp
Hòa30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
HNK Rijeka win39%2.562.3039.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Varazdin1.15

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 38% · Xỉu 62%

HNK Rijeka1.07

Khách share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · Không 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

NK Varazdin

2.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Điểm12

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Thắng probability excluding draw
39%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.15
Expected goals
1.07
NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Varazdin signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Rijeka signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Varazdin thắng 31%,Hòa 30%,HNK Rijeka thắng 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Tài 2.5 38% · Current selection Xỉu