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HRV Croazia - HNL · Final ·

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–0Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa31%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite39%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite39% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
31% / 30% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doppia Chance1270.3%1.42
Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%Goals 2.5Sotto62%1.61
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapHNK Rijeka winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Varazdin win31%3.233.0030.6%+0.4 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
HNK Rijeka win39%2.562.3039.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Varazdin1.15

Casa share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%

HNK Rijeka1.07

Trasferta share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

NK Varazdin

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.15
Expected goals
1.07
NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Varazdin signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Rijeka signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Varazdin vinta 31%,Pareggio 30%,HNK Rijeka vinta 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Sopra 2.5 38% · Current selection Sotto