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HRV クロアチア HNL · Final ·

NKヴァラジュディン vs HNKリエカ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score2–0予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利31%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利39%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction 不的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1NKヴァラジュディンHNKリエカ
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
31% / 30% / 39%試合結果アウェイ勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)ダブルチャンス1270.3%1.42
オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%Goals 2.5アンダー62%1.61
はい 45% · いいえ 55%両チーム得点いいえ55%1.82
2.22 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapHNKリエカ winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NKヴァラジュディン win31%3.233.0030.6%+0.4 pp
引き分け30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
HNKリエカ win39%2.562.3039.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NKヴァラジュディン1.15

ホーム share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%

HNKリエカ1.07

アウェイ share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 45% · いいえ 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

NKヴァラジュディン

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

HNKリエカ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
勝ち probability excluding draw
39%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.15
Expected goals
1.07
NKヴァラジュディンHNKリエカ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NKヴァラジュディン signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNKリエカ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

NKヴァラジュディン vs HNKリエカ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NKヴァラジュディン 勝ち 31%,引き分け 30%,HNKリエカ 勝ち 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · オーバー 2.5 38% · Current selection アンダー