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HRV Хорватия - Национальная лига · Final ·

ФК Вараждин vs ХФК Риека

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–0Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев31%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей39%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК ВараждинХФК Риека
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
31% / 30% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда гостей39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Двойной шанс1270.3%1.42
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapХФК Риека winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Вараждин win31%3.233.0030.6%+0.4 pp
Ничья30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
ХФК Риека win39%2.562.3039.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Вараждин1.15

Хозяева share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

ХФК Риека1.07

Гости share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Вараждин

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ХФК Риека

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.15
Expected goals
1.07
ФК ВараждинХФК Риека
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Вараждин signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ХФК Риека signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ФК Вараждин vs ХФК Риека FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Вараждин выигрыш 31%,Ничья 30%,ХФК Риека выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше