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HRV Croacia - Primera Liga · Final ·

NK Varaždin vs HNK Rijeka

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–0Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local31%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante39%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante39% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK VaraždinHNK Rijeka
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
31% / 30% / 39%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doble Oportunidad1270.3%1.42
Más de 38% · Menos de 62%Goals 2.5Menos de62%1.61
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapHNK Rijeka winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Varaždin win31%3.233.0030.6%+0.4 pp
Empate30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
HNK Rijeka win39%2.562.3039.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Varaždin1.15

Local share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 38% · Menos de 62%

HNK Rijeka1.07

Visitante share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

NK Varaždin

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Ganado probability excluding draw
39%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.15
Expected goals
1.07
NK VaraždinHNK Rijeka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Varaždin signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Rijeka signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

NK Varaždin vs HNK Rijeka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Varaždin ganada 31%,Empate 30%,HNK Rijeka ganada 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Más de 2.5 38% · Current selection Menos de