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MEX Mexico Liga MX · Trận đấu ·

Necaxa vs Leon

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng45%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng30%
Baseline forecastChủ nhà thắngTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng45% selection probability
Projected score2–1NecaxaLeon
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài52% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
45% / 25% / 30%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Cơ hội kép1274.9%1.34
Tài 52% · Xỉu 48%Goals 2.5Tài52%1.92
Có 55% · Không 45%Cả hai đội ghi bàn55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Necaxa win45%2.22
Hòa25%4.00
Leon win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa1.55

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 52% · Xỉu 48%

Leon1.22

Khách share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · Không 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Necaxa

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Leon

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Thắng probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
1.22
NecaxaLeon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leon signalChủ nhà unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Necaxa vs Leon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa thắng 45%,Hòa 25%,Leon thắng 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Tài 2.5 52% · Current selection Tài