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MEX メキシコ リーガMX · 試合 ·

ネカクサ vs レオン

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利45%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利30%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利45% selection probability
Projected score2–1ネカクサレオン
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
45% / 25% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)ダブルチャンス1274.9%1.34
オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%Goals 2.5オーバー52%1.92
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.77 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ネカクサ win45%2.22
引き分け25%4.00
レオン win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ネカクサ1.55

ホーム share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%

レオン1.22

アウェイ share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ネカクサ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レオン

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
1.22
ネカクサレオン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ネカクサ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レオン signalホーム unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ネカクサ vs レオン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ネカクサ 勝ち 45%,引き分け 25%,レオン 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · オーバー 2.5 52% · Current selection オーバー