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MEX Mexico Liga MX · Maç ·

Necaxa vs Leon

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır45%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır30%
Baseline forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır45% selection probability
Projected score2–1NecaxaLeon
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst52% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
45% / 25% / 30%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Çifte Şans1274.9%1.34
Üst 52% · Alt 48%Goals 2.5Üst52%1.92
Evet 55% · Hayır 45%Karşılıklı gol varEvet55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Necaxa win45%2.22
Beraberlik25%4.00
Leon win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa1.55

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 52% · Alt 48%

Leon1.22

Deplasman share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 55% · Hayır 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Necaxa

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Leon

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
1.22
NecaxaLeon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leon signalEv Sahibi unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Necaxa vs Leon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa kazanç 45%,Beraberlik 25%,Leon kazanç 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · 2.5 Üst 52% · Current selection Üst