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BHR Bahrain Premier League · Maç ·

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–02.47 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır66%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır12%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
66% / 22% / 12%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Ahli Manama win (12%)Çifte Şans1X88%1.14
Üst 45% · Alt 55%Goals 2.5Alt55%1.82
Evet 28% · Hayır 72%Karşılıklı gol varHayır72%1.39
2.47 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–0
9.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAl-Ahli Manama winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Muharraq win66%1.521.3865.2%+0.8 pp
Beraberlik22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Al-Ahli Manama win12%8.337.0012.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Muharraq2.09

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 84.6%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 45% · Alt 55%

Al-Ahli Manama0.38

Deplasman share of expected goals 15.4%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitEvet 28% · Hayır 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Al-Muharraq

3.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puan15

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Al-Ahli Manama

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
12%
15
Points from supplied form
7
2.09
Expected goals
0.38
Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Muharraq signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Ahli Manama signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Muharraq kazanç 66%,Beraberlik 22%,Al-Ahli Manama kazanç 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · 2.5 Üst 45% · Current selection Alt